Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 131.220252 149.690955 170.222576 194.805928 223.529961 256.137213 296.106366
2025-11-16 104.463341 128.294586 157.120738 194.821868 243.218165 303.779238 386.119665
2025-11-23 88.210762 114.173097 147.541734 194.099523 258.214320 344.630186 472.021308
2025-11-30 78.488306 105.989130 143.124355 197.780812 277.616378 392.254962 573.557236
2025-12-07 68.161706 95.209755 133.209754 191.619518 281.174560 416.742919 644.309938
2025-12-14 61.126484 87.988343 127.086997 189.587497 289.750015 448.957346 731.557728
2025-12-21 56.352341 83.395987 124.072135 191.522303 304.232607 491.935003 843.642169
2025-12-28 53.575557 81.429515 124.674437 198.995114 328.407671 554.166980 1000.931431
2026-01-04 50.776119 79.069743 124.288834 204.606343 349.922717 614.734870 1166.770563
2026-01-11 46.886606 74.532413 119.821190 202.572474 357.343720 650.358139 1289.975196
2026-01-18 44.557560 72.323449 118.965792 206.697297 376.500007 711.007959 1477.511028
2026-01-25 41.603775 68.766595 115.407961 205.403240 384.954217 751.459843 1628.952436
2026-02-01 39.052560 65.897151 113.161166 207.070247 401.132144 814.053194 1855.322450
2026-02-08 36.584017 62.970978 110.566655 207.869379 415.994883 877.424582 2103.156794
2026-02-15 34.191341 59.943755 107.448900 207.187208 427.556685 935.592512 2354.392117
2026-02-22 32.608099 58.255283 106.671478 211.165825 449.997454 1023.730441 2713.913991
2026-03-01 29.992074 54.368125 101.216584 204.528407 447.028854 1048.899357 2899.602636
2026-03-08 28.110528 51.735119 97.995453 202.339541 454.240256 1101.514561 3185.638786
2026-03-15 26.827924 50.164705 96.767690 204.423870 472.208300 1186.404181 3603.937923
2026-03-22 26.199043 49.842471 98.081049 212.476194 506.595005 1324.335631 4253.486531
2026-03-29 25.422232 49.145483 98.521870 218.524708 536.839136 1457.586689 4940.737934
2026-04-05 24.024004 47.037498 95.704218 216.332130 544.460600 1524.656884 5403.144890
2026-04-12 23.249537 46.184688 95.572682 220.779070 571.390868 1658.693773 6194.507386